Lenders’ data mining goes deep

I love the data… I dislike that big brother has that much control and knows more about me than my family and friends… read on and let me know your thoughts.

Mortgage makers are going beyond tax returns and bank statements to determine whether you’re a good risk. They’re checking such things as where you have pizza delivered and where you shop online.

Reporting from Washington — That pizza you had delivered the other night could mean the difference between whether you are approved for a mortgage or rejected.

There’s a big stretch between making a house payment and paying for a pizza. But it’s not what you pay for carryout that matters, at least not in the eyes of lenders. It’s where the food was delivered.

Ordering takeout proves that you live where you say you do, and that helps lenders uncover the crook who claims to live in the property he is trying to refinance when he really lives hundreds of miles away. Or expose the 35-year-old who says he has a $1,200-a-month apartment when he really lives rent-free with Mom and Dad.

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When you order food online, you become part of a vast database that lenders might tap to help them determine whether you are a good risk. Moreover, all sorts of these data reservoirs exist, and none of them is off-limits to lenders who are coming off the worst financial debacle since the Great Depression.

“If the data is available and it can be obtained legally, I’m going to test it,” says Alex Santos, president of Digital Risk, an Orlando, Fla., analytics firm that works with lenders and investors to build better underwriting mousetraps. “If it is inexpensive and makes my credit model better, I’m going to use it.”

Digital Risk is just one of numerous risk-management companies that are continuously probing for ways to help clients quantify their risk, prevent fraud and otherwise ensure the quality of their loans. And they’re going to extraordinary lengths to do so.

For example, they might peek into your online-buying habits. After all, the reasoning goes, someone who buys his shirts from a Brooks Brothers catalog may have more disposable income than someone who shops at JCPenney.

“At least that’s a theory we can test,” Santos says. “We’re looking for any type of data source that you can plug into a computer. It takes only a month of trial and error to determine whether the information can help [determine credit risk] or not. We have a hypothesis, push a button, and the computer tells us whether the data is predictive or not.”

This sort of data mining goes way beyond your credit score, that financial snapshot that measures your ability and willingness to repay your debt. And, Santos says, “there’s a tremendous amount of this kind of analytics going on right now.”

Lenders are still checking credit histories, not just when you apply for a mortgage but also a second time a day or two before the loan closes. But your credit score — known as a FICO score for the name of the company that created the scoring formula — is now considered “too broad.” Consequently, it has moved down in the hierarchy of tests that lenders are using to make certain that someone isn’t hoodwinking them.

First and foremost, lenders are pulling copies of your tax returns directly from Uncle Sam.

Don’t be alarmed. You give the lender permission to do that when you sign Form 4506-T. The idea here is to make sure that you haven’t altered the copy of your last two years’ tax returns that you provided when you signed your loan application. Lenders want to know if you might have exaggerated how much you earned.

Form 4506-T isn’t new. But a few years ago, at the height of the housing-market bonanza when home loans were easy to come by, many lenders failed to use it. Now practically everyone is going straight to the federal tax collector to compare the returns you provided with those on file with the IRS.

Lenders also are going to great lengths to verify employment and assets. Not only are they calling the name and work number you provided on your application, but they also are seeking confirmation in writing from your employer about what you earn, your position and how long you’ve worked there.

It’s the same for your bank accounts. Rather than being satisfied solely with the copies of the bank statements you provided, lenders are going directly to your bank to secure another set of those statements to make sure the numbers line up.

Lenders are no longer taking the appraiser’s word for how much the property you want to buy or refinance is worth, either. Now, they are employing automated valuation models as a second line of defense to be certain the appraiser’s estimate is on the money.

Next in the line of defenses is your credit score, but not just the score pulled when you applied for the loan. Now, they are pulling a second score shortly before closing to make sure that you haven’t taken out a car loan, bought a houseful of furniture on credit or done something else that might change your ability to make your house payments.

Lenders also are searching for other undisclosed liabilities by running your Social Security number through a huge database known as Mortgage Electronic Registration Systems.

Since 1997, more than 63 million mortgages have been registered on the MERS tracking system, each with a distinct 18-digit identification number. So, if you have another mortgage that you “forgot” to tell your lender about, this check will probably find it.

Now, too, the most cautious lenders are digging into noncredit proprietary databases such as those maintained by Papa John’s or Victoria’s Secret. And nothing is out of the realm of possibility. The “only boundary,” says Digital Risk’s Santos, is whether information can be accessed legally.

As long as it does not distinguish between race, religion, age and other “protected” classes, anything is fair game.

Distributed by United Feature Syndicate.
Copyright © 2010, Los Angeles Times

VA Loans Getting Harder To Get!

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This is truly frustrating in my opinion… VA Buyers are finally back in the game and it’s becoming harder for them to get financing.

Va Loans

MILITARY veterans have long been accustomed to a relatively easy mortgage process. Even borrowers with no down payment or a low credit score were usually granted V.A. loans, in large part because the Department of Veterans Affairs insures a quarter of the loan amount.

But about two years ago, lenders began limiting the conditions under which they would offer these mortgages, and industry executives say that since the start of the year, all the nation’s major lenders have followed suit.

“It’s been a tightening across the board,” said Nathan Long, the chief executive of VAMortgageCenter.com, an online broker of V.A. mortgages.

Lenders will still offer V.A. loans with no down payment, he said, but “if you have a credit score of 610, the best thing to do is work on your credit and try again in a couple of months, because you don’t really have any options.”

Mr. Long says major lenders like Bank of America, Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase, typically will not offer V.A. loans to borrowers with credit scores below 610. Debora Blume, a spokeswoman for Wells Fargo, said the cutoff score for her bank’s V.A.-insured loans was 600.

The tighter credit policies also extend to the Streamline Refinance program, which allows borrowers with V.A. loans to refinance into another V.A. loan with very little paperwork and, until recently, no appraisal.

Mr. Long and V.A. representatives say that lenders are now requiring borrowers to pay for an appraisal, which can cost $300 or more depending on a home’s location. If the new loan amount is more than the value of the home, they will most likely reject the application.

Not surprisingly, V.A. loan volume has fallen so far this year. William White, the acting assistant director for loan policy at Veterans Affairs, said his agency was on pace to insure about 300,000 mortgages this fiscal year, which ends Sept. 30, versus 325,000 in 2009. The nation’s overall loan volume rose about 19 percent during the same period, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association, to $1.92 trillion from $1.62 trillion. (The trade group tracks only total dollar amount.)

Mr. White said he understood why lenders might be restricting the loans, as the V.A. insurance only covers 25 percent of the loan amount. But he added that borrowers of V.A. loans generally had a lower default rate than prime borrowers over all — 2.6 percent versus 3.4 percent, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association — despite the fact that their credit scores were typically lower.

V.A. mortgage borrowers tend to “show some discipline,” Mr. White said, offering one explanation, “and we think they try real hard to make their payments.”

The average credit score for a V.A. borrower last year was just over 700, while the average credit score for all borrowers was 750, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-sponsored companies that establish underwriting standards.

Mr. Long noted that V.A. loans remain competitive with other loan products. Borrowers who qualify — they must prove 24 months of continuous active military duty, and cannot have experienced a dishonorable discharge, among other things — can secure rates of 4.75 percent on 30-year fixed-rate loans, he said. That is the case even for borrowers with 620 credit scores, he added. The average rate nationwide for all 30-year fixed-rate loans is around 4.70 percent.

There is a one-time insurance fee that varies according to the size of the loan and the borrower’s credit profile, but the average is about 1.75 percent of the loan amount. On a $200,000 mortgage the cost would be $3,500. About a quarter of applicants — disabled or retired veterans, for instance — qualify for exemptions from that payment.
A version of this article appeared in print on June 27, 2010, on page RE7 of the New York edition.

Homebuyer credit extension heads to Obama

An excellent article to clarify the existing tax credit; however please watch the video from CNN Money with Meridith Whitney commenting on the state of affiars of our current real estate market… very well done!

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — First-time homebuyers will have until Sept. 30 to close on their purchases and land an $8,000 tax credit under a bill passed by the Senate late Wednesday.

President Obama is expected to sign the bill, which was overwhelmingly approved by the House on Tuesday. The deadline had been June 30.

The bill doesn’t help anyone currently shopping for a home. Buyers must have signed a contract by April 30 to qualify for the tax break. At issue is when the deal must be finalized.

Qualified existing homeowners also have until Sept. 30 to close on new homes and receive a tax credit of up to $6,500.

Congress has been trying to pass the extension for the last month, but it got caught up in Washington politics. Only when it was separated from a larger jobs bill did deficit-wary lawmakers sign off on it. The extension will lower the deficit by $9 million over a decade since it is offset by certain other provisions.

An estimated 200,000 people have missed out on the tax credit because they wouldn’t have been able to close by the end of business Wednesday. Many are trying to take advantage of short sales, which are complicated deals to complete.

The Senate approved the stand-alone homebuyers tax credit shortly after a failed attempt to advance a bill that combined the credit with an unemployment benefits extension.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., said the chamber will take up the benefits bill again once a replacement for the late Senator Robert Byrd, D-W.Va., is named. – By Tami Luhby, senior writerJuly 1, 2010: 10:54 AM ET

Troubled homeowners find help outside Obama program

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Great article explaining the continued challenges with Loan Modifications and our current state of affairs.

More mortgages were permanently modified in May under the government program, but more modifications were canceled as well. Some of those borrowers worked out alternative terms with private lenders.

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A distressed home awaits a buyer in Davie, Fla. Mortgage servicers have been pressured by the government to make more loan modifications permanent. (J Pat Carter, Associated Press / May 12, 2010)
By Jim Puzzanghera, Los Angeles Times

Reporting from Washington —

More borrowers dropped out of the Obama administration’s foreclosure prevention program last month than were added, but many of those homeowners found private help from their mortgage companies, according to data released Monday.

The number of mortgages with permanently reduced payments under the Home Affordable Modification Program increased 15% in May to 340,459. The pace of new temporary three-month modifications eased in May, with an increase of just 2.5% to 1,244,184.

But cancellations of mortgage modifications continued to grow. Canceled trial modifications rose 55% in May from April. More than a third of all trial modifications started since the program began last year — 429,696 — now have been canceled.

Cancellations of permanent modifications also were up sharply, rising 70% to 6,357 in May from April.

But overall, homeowners with permanently reduced mortgage payments have fared better in the program. The cancellations amount to just 1.8% of all the permanent modifications offered since the program began last year.

The administration’s report said that at the eight largest mortgage servicers, including Bank of America, CitiMortgage and JPMorgan Chase, nearly half of homeowners whose temporary government modifications were cancelled received an alternative modification.

Of the 194,056 total cancellations for those servicers under the Obama administration’s plan, just 7% resulted in foreclosure actions. An additional 2% resulted in a short sale.

The Los Angeles-Orange County area continued to account for the most active trial and permanent modifications under the administration program, with 52,119, or 6.4% of the national total. The New York City area was second with 6.1%. The Inland Empire ranked fourth with 5%.

The $75-billion Home Affordable Modification Program offers mortgage servicers cash incentives to reduce mortgage holders’ payments. The goal is to modify the mortgages for 3 million to 4 million people by the end of 2012. The median payment reduction in permanent modifications has been about $500 a month.

But the program has been criticized for not helping enough homeowners and for slow participation and bureaucratic runarounds by major mortgage servicers.

Administration officials increased pressure on mortgage servicers in December to make more of the modifications permanent.

As part of that process, the administration reviewed cases in which some servicers denied mortgage modifications. Officials agreed with most of the decisions, but in 3.9% of the cases, reviewers disagreed with the servicers’ decisions and ordered the firms to hold off on foreclosure action until the cases were reevaluated.

jim.puzzanghera@latimes.com
Copyright © 2010, The Los Angeles Times

Luxury Sales Bounce Back…

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An interesting article to say the least… I still believe that this market has some corrections left to address. Your thoughts?

By JULIET CHUNG and JAMES R. HAGERTY at the WSJ

For years, Jennifer Metz and her husband John yearned for a bigger home in San Francisco. Three months ago, the couple started looking, figuring that in this shaky economy, their $3 million budget should provide them a pick of attractive homes and accommodating sellers.
Luxury Going Fast

massachechets house

Kimberly Hallen/Boston Virtual Imaging – A Cambridge, Massachusetts home

They were wrong. Hours after seeing a 5,000-square-foot fixer-upper in Presidio Heights with an asking price around $2.7 million, the Metzes put in a bid—and lost. Soon after, they made another offer on a four-bedroom in Russian Hill. Their bid was rejected.

Last week, the Metzes rushed over to a large, dilapidated home in Pacific Heights that needed a lot of work but was asking the (relatively) low price of $2.25 million. The Metzes put in their over-ask bid the next day, but lost that one too: There were nine offers; the winning bid was $2.56 million.

“It’s frustrating,” says Ms. Metz, a 44-year-old stay-at-home mom whose husband works in finance. “You think you put in a good offer but, no.”

After a near-disastrous 2009, the luxury market appears to be making a comeback, driven by growing buyer confidence, improved financing conditions and more-realistic seller pricing. Despite the housing downturn, attractively priced homes in some of the nation’s most coveted neighborhoods are selling, sometimes fast and sometimes with multiple offers. Nationwide, sales of homes selling for $2 million to $5 million in the first quarter totaled 2,461, up 32% from a year before, says CoreLogic.

san fran house
Sotheby’s

$2,146-per-square-foot is what a buyer paid for this elaborately redone San Francisco home that has a vanishing wall.

That sales are up from last year shouldn’t come as a big surprise. The shock of the financial panic in the fall of 2008 left many potential buyers too nervous to bid, and those who were willing to wade in found it hard to get financing. But a study for The Wall Street Journal by MDA DataQuick, a real-estate data provider, found that in some areas of the country, sales of homes over $2 million in the first quarter were actually on par with the levels of 2005, the peak year for existing-home sales volume nationwide.

In San Francisco, 49 homes sold for $2 million or more in this year’s first quarter, according to the study, compared to 47 in 2005. In Manhattan, there were 402 sales of $2 million or more in the latest quarter, compared with 311 in the first quarter of 2005, according to the appraisal firm Miller Samuel Inc. Other areas with strong rebounds included New York’s Hamptons, Menlo Park, Calif., and Beverly Hills.

Even a couple of troubled housing markets experienced a strong uptick. In Las Vegas, there were 21 such sales in the first quarter, up from 15 in the first quarter of 2005, according to DataQuick. In Miami, 21 such sales of $2 million or more were recorded in the first quarter, up from 15 last year and close to the 23 that sold in that time five years earlier.

Of course, many markets including Greenwich, Conn. and parts of New Jersey are still ailing. Brokers say pricey homes in outlying suburbs are more likely to sit than sell. Miami-Dade County still has enough homes priced at $2 million or more to last 41 months at the current sales pace, though down from 116 months a year earlier, says Ron Shuffield, president of EWM Realtors, a large local brokerage.

The rear of the San Francisco home.
san fran rear house

The recent stock market tumble could unravel the turnaround. Unlike the rest of the housing market, which is driven largely by employment trends, housing analysts say high-end buyers are much more sensitive to changes in the stock market, which for the first quarter was helping them feel even wealthier. “If the markets don’t recover soon, it will scare people” and hurt demand for high-end homes, says Kenneth Rosen, chairman of the Fisher Center for Real Estate and Urban Economics at the University of California, Berkeley.

In the meantime, some high-end renovators are making quick sales. Koby Kempel bought a colonial in Brookline, a posh suburb of Boston, last year for $1.45 million. He raised the ceilings, rebuilt the interior, expanded the home by about 50% and added a heated garage. The six-bedroom home was listed by Mona Wiener of Hammond Residential on a Friday in early May and was under contract the next day for the asking price of nearly $3.5 million.

Back in San Francisco’s Pacific Heights neighborhood, a four-bedroom home on Broadway, with a spa and views of the Golden Gate Bridge, was renovated by Gregory Malin. It went on the market in late January and sold two weeks later for $13.5 million, compared with the $14 million asking price. The listing agent, Val Steele of Sotheby’s International Realty, says the sale, at $2,146 per square foot, marked the first time a home in San Francisco topped $2,000 a square foot since early September 2008.

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More good news for consumers… Tax Credit extended!

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Realegal®

More good news for consumers, our members, and the housing market recovery. Following the Senate’s favorable vote yesterday, the U.S. House of Representatives just voted 403 to 12 to extend the home buyer tax credit, expanding the parameters to include existing homeowners and not just first-time buyers. As you may know, C.A.R. and our partners at NAR have worked for months urging Congress and the Senate to extend and expand this crucial piece of legislation. We expect President Obama to sign the legislation in short order.

As it now stands, the federal tax credit will be extended through April 30, 2010, with a 60-day extension if a binding contract is in place prior to the deadline. First-time home buyers will continue to be eligible for a tax credit of up to $8,000, while existing homeowners will be eligible for a reduced credit of up to $6,500. To qualify for the $6,500 credit, existing homeowners must have lived in their current residences for at least five years. The bill also increases the qualifying income limits from $75,000 for single tax filers and $150,000 for joint filers to $125,000 and $225,000, respectively. The purchase price of the home is capped at $800,000 in both instances.

Under additional provisions included in the bill, taxpayers can claim the credit on purchases completed in 2010 on their 2009 income tax returns. The legislation maintains the provision that home buyers do not have to repay the credit provided the home remains their primary residence for 36 months after purchase, and waives this requirement for active duty military personnel who move due to a military order.

Nationwide, more than 1.4 million first-time home buyers were given the opportunity to become homeowners as a result of the Federal Tax Credit for First-time Home Buyers. We expect that number to increase dramatically in the months ahead with this new legislation in place. Thank you to our members who called, wrote, and e-mailed their congressional representatives and voiced their support for the home buyer tax credit. Your voices were heard – today’s vote is a direct result of OUR actions and involvement.

CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Changes coming… Senate Bill 306.

As you may or may not already know… senate bill 306 was just signed by our govener.  Based on the recent changes this is what you should expect:

Senate Bill 306, signed into law this September, changes some of the rules for California real estate short sales . Much of the excitement around this legislation is a revision to Civil Code section 2943 that provides, when an owner/borrower submits to the lender a “short sale request,” the lender is required to accept or decline it within 21 days.

This excitement overlooks what is required by the statute to trigger the lender’s duty to respond quickly. The statute describes a short sale request as a written request that includes;

A. A copy of an existing contract to purchase the property for an amount certain;

B. A copy of the short-pay agreement in the possession of the entitled person.

C. Information related to the release of any other liens on the property, if
any. Item B, the “short pay agreement,” is further defined as an agreement in writing in which the beneficiary agrees to release its lien on a property in return for payment of an amount less than the secured obligation.

It appears that the procedure is as follows:

1. The prospective seller must first have in hand an agreement with the lender
agreeing, in advance, to a short sale. But there is no deadline for the lender to
provide the agreement, nor discussion of whether the agreement specifies how much the lender will accept. On its face, the statute allows the lender to provide the agreement, but not accept a short sale if it is for less that one dollar below the total owed.

2. The owner/borrower the gets a bona fide purchase offer, and makes a short-pay request.

3. The lender then has 21 days to respond, setting forth whether they accept
the existing offer, or specifying the price and terms they would agree to a short sale.

I’m not sure how this will really benefit the consumer as the only adverse effect to the lender is a minimal fine, and there are challenges as to when the time frames truly begin… If you ever worked with a short sale, they don’t always receive everything you send them, packages get lost or placed in the wrong department, etc… however I’m hopeful that this is a step in the right direction…  your thoughts?

Loan Modification Attorneys Under Investigation!

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Brought to you by the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

LOAN MODIFICATION ATTORNEYS UNDER INVESTIGATION The State Bar of California has recently launched numerous investigations against attorneys for misconduct related to loan modifications. In a rare move, the State Bar has released the names of 16 attorneys under investigation, by opting to waive investigation confidentiality in favor of public protection. These attorneys have allegedly taken fees for promised services, but failed to perform those services or even communicate with their clients who face the possible loss of their homes. Their non-attorney staff may also be under investigation for unlawfully practicing law.

Not all attorneys engaged in loan modifications are unscrupulous. However, this announcement from the State Bar serves as a good reminder for REALTORS® and their clients to be careful when dealing with attorneys and others for loan modifications. Scam artists may intentionally associate or affiliate themselves with attorneys in an attempt to lend credence to their fraudulent schemes.

The list of attorneys currently under investigation is available at http://calbar.ca.gov/state/calbar/calbar_generic.jsp?cid=10144&n=96395. C.A.R. provides REALTORS

Short sale challenges….

This market has continued to create challenge after challenge…

I’m not going to tell you that I have all the answers and that I know how to get through every situaltion… What I believe would help, would be for entire industry to CHANGE…

Imagine if we all worked together to reach the same results… how great would that feel? You are not alone and don’t need to do this by yourself. I would like to suggest that any agent working on a short sale that hasn’t already taking an advanced training course through your local board, the short sale specialist (SSS), the short sale matrix (SSM), or the Certified Distressed Property Experts (CDPE) please do so…

At the very least… please consider working together with the community to reach a common goal, whether it be getting through the sale faster, helping your seller through a difficult time, working to get the lender through this sale, minimize their loss, and even for your own selfish benefit to get paid sooner… wouldn’t that be nice?

Are you looking for help? Please visit www.CDPE.com now and make a difference for you, your community and your clients!!!

Orange County Market conditions are creating confusion…

Often times I’m asked “If this is a buyer’s market, why is it so hard to find a home, or why are there so many offers”?

My answer: This market is constantly changing and there is continued change in our economy, the stock market, interest rates, the legislation, the short sale and foreclosure markets and much more.  I personally receive upwards of 3-5 emails a day from different lenders and brokers with conflicting information and misnomers.  There is no doubt that there are changes in every facet of this industry yet there is still a ton of activity in today’s real estate market!

Now… I’m not going to tell you that, I have all the right answers.  I would like to suggest that if you have a question, a problem or an issue that you need help with, let me know.  My diligent team of professionals are here to help me, help you.

My coach “Joe Stumpf” has said that confusion is a convenient place to go when you don’t want to change.  If you don’t want to change… that’s ok!  However, if you are tired of sitting on the fence and you are ready to find out if this market is right for you… give me a call or send me an email right now, and let’s see if we can craft a specific, strategic process to help you get from where you are now, to where you want to be!

Thank you for taking to time to follow this feed, take care and I will look forward to speaking with you soon.

Your Friend In The Real Estate Business…